Celta vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
CEL
1 - 0
MAL
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
RSO
1 - 0
CEL
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
ESP
4 - 2
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
RMA
1 - 0
CEL
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BUR
0 - 0
DEP
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MAL
3 - 0
BUR
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
BUR
3 - 0
ZAR
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
RSO
5 - 1
BUR
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
GRA
2 - 0
BUR
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |