Celta vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SEV
2 - 1
CEL
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
GET
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 1
CEL
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
3 - 3
VAD
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
GIR
3 - 2
CEL
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 0
RMA
8%
15%
78%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
GET
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 5
ALA
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VAD
0 - 1
ALA
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |