UCL Group H Round 4

Celta vs Ajax analysis

Celta Ajax
89 ELO 88
-0.7% Tilt -12.6%
61º General ELO ranking 103º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.6%
Celta
24.8%
Draw
28.6%
Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Celta
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.6%
Win probability
Ajax
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
+8%
+3%
Ajax

ELO progression

Celta
Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2003
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Racing
RAC
62%
21%
17%
89 84 5 0
29 Oct. 2003
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Celta
CEL
61%
23%
16%
89 92 3 0
26 Oct. 2003
ESP
Espanyol
0 - 4
Celta
CEL
43%
27%
30%
88 86 2 +1
22 Oct. 2003
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
62%
21%
17%
89 89 0 -1
18 Oct. 2003
CEL
Celta
0 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
26%
24%
50%
89 93 4 0

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Nov. 2003
AJA
Ajax
3 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
78%
14%
8%
88 76 12 0
26 Oct. 2003
PSV
PSV
2 - 2
Ajax
AJA
48%
24%
28%
88 88 0 0
22 Oct. 2003
AJA
Ajax
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
62%
21%
17%
89 89 0 -1
17 Oct. 2003
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
FC Volendam
VOL
82%
12%
6%
88 68 20 +1
05 Oct. 2003
GRO
Groningen
1 - 3
Ajax
AJA
17%
23%
60%
88 69 19 0