Cearense 1 Etapas Finales. Final
Global 3-4
Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEA
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEA
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
SER
80%
14%
5%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 1
ALA
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 0
IGU
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
PAL
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEA
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEA
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 4
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |