Ceará vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 6
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
80 | 32 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 0
CEA
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 1
CCS
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
JWI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
ARS
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 0
CEA
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
DYJ
0 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |