CD Provincial Osorno vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDP
2 - 0
JOA
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
RAS
3 - 1
CDP
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CDP
0 - 1
BDS
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DLI
3 - 0
CDP
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OVA
0 - 2
CDP
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 0
DLS
44%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 1
PUE
43%
27%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PUE
0 - 0
DSC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
58%
23%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
PUE
2 - 2
NUB
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |