Segunda B Playoffs . Semi-finals
Global 5-4
CD Guadalajara vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ORI
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 2
GUA
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 5
GUA
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
EXT
73%
19%
8%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 0
RUN
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
RUN
2 - 1
SEV
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
ALC
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
SEV
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SEV
0 - 1
CAD
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |