Casas vs La Hoya CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
27.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CLU
0 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 2
SBE
81%
11%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CUE
3 - 2
CAS
29%
20%
51%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAM
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VDM
4 - 2
CAS
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
La Hoya CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LHY
1 - 2
FUE
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LHY
4 - 1
CLU
67%
17%
16%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SBE
4 - 5
LHY
17%
17%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LHY
3 - 2
CUE
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
LHY
72%
16%
11%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |