Independiente FC vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
3 - 0
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
IND
2 - 1
PAS
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
FAS
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 0
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 0
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MET
0 - 3
SAN
28%
27%
46%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
SES
4 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |