Castrovillari vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
USC
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USC
3 - 0
CIT
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
USC
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
TUR
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 2
ASD
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASD
82%
14%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |