Castro vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
73.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
CAS
50%
25%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
SIE
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
TEX
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 0
CAS
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
ESC
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 2
GIM
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 1
GIM
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GIM
4 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |