Caserio Perales vs ADC San Fermín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caserio Perales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CSP
0 - 2
EFC
30%
23%
47%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ADC
4 - 1
CSP
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CSP
2 - 0
SVI
33%
22%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
VSB
1 - 2
CSP
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CSP
2 - 0
BVC
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ORC
5 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDM
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
DPS
1 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 2
CIU
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
BET
1 - 1
SAN
61%
19%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |