Case-Pilote vs Trénelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
14º
5º
6
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
USD
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CPE
3 - 4
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 2
GOO
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOL
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 2
CAS
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Trénelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 7
GOL
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 2
AIG
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USD
2 - 1
TRE
60%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 2
CPE
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 2
GOO
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |