Casasimarro vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MAH
2 - 2
CAS
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
RRB
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
ABA
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RRB
2 - 1
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 2
MUN
25%
24%
52%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BON
2 - 0
MOT
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
ALM
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
HEL
4 - 0
MOT
23%
23%
53%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
RRB
35%
25%
40%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |