Casa Pia AC vs CF Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 3
CAS
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OEL
1 - 2
CAS
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
0 - 1
REA
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OEI
3 - 0
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
ELE
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 0
OEL
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
CFB
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
2 - 0
OEI
20%
22%
57%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +5 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ELE
0 - 0
CFB
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CFB
0 - 2
SIN
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |