Carrick Rangers vs Portadown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
16
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
COL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CLI
1 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Portadown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 5
LAR
7%
19%
74%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
POR
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
LIN
8%
19%
73%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
4 - 0
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRU
4 - 0
POR
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |