Carrick Rangers vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
63.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
73
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |