Carrarese vs Imolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 0
PIS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIS
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Imolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
IMO
1 - 0
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IMO
2 - 2
ACS
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
IMO
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
IMO
21%
21%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
IMO
2 - 1
ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |