Carmelita vs Municipal Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
EBC
0 - 2
ADC
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ADC
5 - 1
ESC
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PFC
2 - 0
ADC
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COF
0 - 1
ADC
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ADC
4 - 3
MRP
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
0 - 2
PFC
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
COF
3 - 3
MUN
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
MRP
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESC
1 - 1
MUN
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 2
EBC
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |