Carmelita vs CS Uruguay Coronado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmelita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADC
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ADC
2 - 0
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
CSH
3 - 1
ADC
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ADC
1 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ADC
4 - 2
LFC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CS Uruguay Coronado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
CSU
0 - 2
LDA
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CSC
3 - 1
CSU
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
CSU
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CSU
3 - 0
PFC
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
CSU
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |