Carmarthen Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 4
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 0
LLA
69%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
TNS
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |