Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 0
LID
78%
15%
8%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
POR
88%
9%
4%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 1
TRE
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
CWM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CWM
0 - 3
TAF
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
UND
3 - 4
CWM
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CWM
1 - 2
UND
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |