Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
6º
4º
27
1º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 0
HAV
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 1
PEN
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 3
TNS
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |