Cardiff MU vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEF
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 2
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
5 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TNS
2 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
CON
0 - 1
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
BAN
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
CON
2 - 1
PRE
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |