Cardiff MU vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
5 - 1
ABE
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 2
CAR
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
6 - 1
HAV
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 6
FLI
35%
24%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 7
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
ABE
5 - 1
CEF
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |