Cardiff MU vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 0
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
HAV
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
0 - 4
TNS
12%
18%
71%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 1
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |