Caravaggio vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
SAN
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
VCB
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
DES
45%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAL
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAS
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |