Carapebus EC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 0
CEC
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
AME
2 - 0
CEC
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 5
AME
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 3
CIG
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
3 - 4
CEC
56%
21%
24%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
PER
25%
22%
52%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
DUQ
66%
20%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |