WC Qual. CONCACAF 4ta Ronda - Grupo A. Jor. 6

Canada vs El Salvador analysis

Canada El Salvador
76 ELO 65
-13.2% Tilt -11.4%
230º General ELO ranking 1678º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Canada
24.6%
Draw
17.6%
El Salvador

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
Canada
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.6%
Win probability
El Salvador
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Canada
+1%
-20%
El Salvador

ELO progression

Canada
El Salvador
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Canada
Canada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2016
HND
Honduras
2 - 1
Canada
CAN
54%
25%
21%
76 80 4 0
07 Jun. 2016
CAN
Canada
2 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
32%
27%
41%
76 79 3 0
03 Jun. 2016
CAN
Canada
1 - 1
Azerbaijan
AZE
61%
24%
16%
76 63 13 0
30 Mar. 2016
MEX
Mexico
2 - 0
Canada
CAN
79%
15%
6%
76 91 15 0
26 Mar. 2016
CAN
Canada
0 - 3
Mexico
MEX
12%
22%
66%
76 91 15 0

Matches

El Salvador
El Salvador
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2016
SLV
El Salvador
1 - 3
Mexico
MEX
11%
21%
69%
65 91 26 0
02 Jun. 2016
SLV
El Salvador
0 - 4
Armenia
ARM
39%
25%
36%
67 70 3 -2
29 May. 2016
PER
Peru
3 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
75%
18%
7%
67 86 19 0
30 Mar. 2016
HND
Honduras
2 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
69%
19%
12%
68 80 12 -1
26 Mar. 2016
SLV
El Salvador
2 - 2
Honduras
HND
27%
25%
47%
68 80 12 0
X