Padova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
MAN
38%
32%
30%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAD
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
LEC
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 0
PAD
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
31%
28%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
MOD
57%
27%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
39%
30%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 2
MOD
55%
29%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |