Padova vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
26.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
SSB
1 - 1
PAD
49%
30%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
PAD
0 - 1
USC
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
PAD
1 - 0
PES
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
UDI
2 - 2
PAD
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
VER
0 - 1
ASL
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1990 |
MES
0 - 0
ASL
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
ASL
0 - 0
SSB
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |