Calavera vs Olivarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
65.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
4 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
CDD
34%
25%
41%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAL
70%
18%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEN
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
CAL
51%
23%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Olivarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
LCF
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
0 - 1
OLI
16%
18%
67%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
3 - 3
OLI
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
CDD
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
OLI
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |