Calasparra vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
JUM
2 - 0
CAL
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAL
1 - 1
LAS
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CAL
0 - 1
MME
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAL
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CIE
0 - 3
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
JUM
0 - 0
CIE
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CIE
0 - 4
MAZ
20%
26%
54%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LAS
3 - 2
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CIE
4 - 0
CFB
15%
22%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |