Caernarfon Town FC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
CAE
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAE
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAE
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |