Caernarfon Town FC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
4 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAL
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
1 - 3
ROS
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |