Caen vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ASN
1 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 1
LHA
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
NIC
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LIL
2 - 2
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AUX
1 - 0
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 0
AUX
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GIR
2 - 0
AUX
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AUX
0 - 0
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
LMU
0 - 2
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |