Cádiz vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 1
BAL
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAD
22%
24%
54%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 2
SRQ
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAD
3 - 0
LOJ
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
OSA
17%
24%
59%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
ECI
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARR
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
2 - 1
ROD
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
CPC
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
EJE
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |