Cacerense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 0
CEC
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEC
2 - 0
GRE
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
CEC
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEC
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2007 |
CEC
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
ATL
17%
25%
58%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
4 - 2
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 2
CEI
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | +1 |