Vélez Sarsfield vs Sportivo Las Parejas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14%
4.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
HUR
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
RIE
1 - 2
VEL
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
GLP
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
5 - 0
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Las Parejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLP
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 2
SLP
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLP
1 - 1
CEN
8%
18%
75%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SLP
4 - 1
IND
37%
30%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SLP
1 - 4
ARR
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |