Rosario Central vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1973 |
IND
3 - 1
CEN
52%
26%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CEN
1 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
ALB
1 - 0
CEN
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1973 |
CEN
4 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1973 |
HUR
1 - 1
CEN
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1973 |
FER
2 - 1
ALB
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
RIV
1 - 1
FER
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1973 |
FER
0 - 0
HUR
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
EST
1 - 0
FER
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1973 |
FER
3 - 1
VEL
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |