Rosario Central vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 3
CEN
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
GOD
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
0 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SLO
3 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 2
BAN
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
BOC
3 - 2
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 0
BEL
67%
22%
11%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
0 - 1
LAN
51%
27%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VEL
2 - 0
GIM
62%
24%
15%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |