River Plate vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2005 |
RIV
4 - 2
LIG
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BOC
2 - 1
RIV
41%
24%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
LIG
2 - 1
RIV
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 2
OLI
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SLO
3 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 0
INS
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ARG
1 - 2
GLP
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
GLP
0 - 2
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
GLP
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
GLP
2 - 0
HUR
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |