CA Lugano vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DPA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAA
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CLA
2 - 2
LUG
58%
23%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
LIN
23%
27%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SBA
0 - 0
LUG
56%
23%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
SBA
0 - 0
CES
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ARR
1 - 2
CES
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
CES
2 - 1
CBA
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
YUP
1 - 2
CES
43%
25%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
PUE
47%
24%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |