Boca Juniors vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOD
0 - 1
BOC
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 0
HUR
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
BOC
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 0
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
BOC
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
QUI
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
EST
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
DEP
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
QUI
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |