Boca Juniors vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
VEL
1 - 3
BOC
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
BOC
4 - 0
CEN
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
GLP
0 - 1
BOC
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CEN
7 - 2
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 3
BOC
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 1
IND
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
VEL
0 - 3
BAN
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
NOB
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 3
BAN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
BAN
0 - 0
CEN
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |