Banfield vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 1
BAN
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
BAN
1 - 2
HUR
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 1976 |
BOC
2 - 1
BAN
67%
18%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
BAN
2 - 1
RAC
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
SMA
1 - 5
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
FER
2 - 4
VEL
60%
23%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
SLO
2 - 1
FER
58%
22%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
CEN
0 - 1
FER
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1976 |
FER
0 - 3
SLM
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
HUR
0 - 2
FER
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |