Buxton vs Basford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BUX
2 - 2
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HYD
1 - 2
BUX
19%
23%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MOR
3 - 0
BUX
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BUX
3 - 3
WAR
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
2 - 1
BUX
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Basford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 2
MOR
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GAI
1 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 0
BAS
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |