Busan I Park vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
71
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUS
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 3
BUS
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ELA
0 - 1
BUS
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BUS
4 - 0
KOR
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CDR
0 - 1
BUS
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 2
SAN
6%
18%
77%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
SAN
14%
24%
62%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 4
DCI
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
DCI
2 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
SUW
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |