Burreli vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
BES
3 - 0
BUR
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 1
TUR
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KOR
0 - 0
BUR
53%
26%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
FLA
21%
28%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
POG
1 - 0
LFC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
POG
3 - 1
DEV
74%
16%
9%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
POG
1 - 0
LUF
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TEP
2 - 1
POG
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
POG
2 - 1
LFC
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |