Burnley vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 0
BPO
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
SHW
0 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 2
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
3 - 2
MID
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1950 |
EVE
3 - 2
MID
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1950 |
MID
3 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1950 |
MID
4 - 0
EVE
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 1
MID
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 2
MID
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |